Behind a huge offensive outburst, and a strong outing by Carlos Carrasco, the New York Mets earned a much needed 10-1 win over the Chicago Cubs Thursday night.
After dropping each of the first two games in the series, New York fans were concerned their team was reverting back to their early season struggles. However, after the big 9 run win, perhaps the Mets have gained some momentum as their road trip continues west.
Next, the Mets will head to Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies in a three game set. Game one is set for 8:40 EST. Here are your best bets if you’re planning on cashing in on the game!
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Betting Odds
Moneyline: NYM (-210) COL (+180)
Spread: Mets -1.5 (-140) CR +1.5 (+120)
O/U: 11
Pitching Matchup Favors Mets
The Mets rotation flips back to the top, as Max Scherzer will get the start against the Rockies’ Connor Seabold.
It has been a “rocky” (pun intended) season thus far for Seabold. In 31.2 innings of work, the 27-year old has amassed an ERA of 5.97. In his last start, he was unable to pitch beyond the 4th inning, allowing 5 hits and 5 ER in just 3.2 innings of work.
If the Mets’ bats look anything like they did on Thursday night, I expect them to chase Seabold from this one early. I’ll take the over on his 3.5 earned runs allowed.
Max Scherzer suffered a rough showing in Detroit on May 3rd, but in his last 2 starts since, he has looked dominant, only allowing a single run in his last 11.0 innings.
Similarly, the Colorado starting lineup has struggled against Scherzer historically. With the exception of Charlie Blackmon, all other batters in Colorado’s lineup have either never faced Scherzer, or are batting below .200 against him.
Scherzer has, however, suffered some rough outings at Coors throughout his career. With this in mind, in addition to his relatively inconsistent start to 2023, I’d steer clear of putting money on his low 2.5 earned run line.
I would, however, take Scherzer to record a win (+115). I expect the Mets’ will provide him with some important run support against Seabold. If he can limit the long ball, and keep runners off the base paths, Scherzer should be poised to earn his 4th win of the year.
Over/Under: 11
Coors Field is an infamously hitter-friendly park. Even so, this run line feels a bit high, especially with Max Scherzer pitching.
The Mets did post 10 runs in Thursday’s game against the Cubs, but prior to that outburst, only scored 2 runs in each of their last 3 games.
The Rockies have enjoyed some offensive success as of late, scoring at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 6 games. However, with Scherzer on the mound, one shouldn’t expect that production to carry over into this matchup.
Pick: Under 11 Runs
Prop Bet of the Night
Pete Alonso has hit 13 home runs this season against right handed pitchers. A trip to Coors Field has the first baseman salivating at the chance to hit another. While this bet is a stretch, the payoff may be worth the risk. Take Alonso at +0.5 hits, and consider taking him to hit +0.5 homers.
Prediction
Perhaps it is wishful thinking to assume the Mets have turned a corner after last night’s showing. It is, of course, only a single game. Nonetheless, this pitching matchup grossly favors the Mets. If the bats can repeat half the success they found Thursday, the New York Mets will steal the first game of this road series.
Pick: Mets (-115)
