Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are out. Phoenix has a chance to end this series early on their home court. Russell Westbrook was the only player with more than 15 points in Game 4 for the Clippers.
This is a recipe for a blowout.
However, these are still NBA basketball players and no one can ever be ruled out completely.
Let’s review some of the best odds in this “do-or die” game for the Clippers.
All odds, lines and spreads are provided courtesy of BetMGM.
BetMGM: It’s Time To Change The Game
Clippers +13.5, -125
+13.5 feels like a trap, and it feels almost too good to be true.
This game has the potential to get ugly early, but those big leads usually get trimmed down by the end of the game (i.e. Grizzlies in Game 3).
Vegas and fans alike are also not giving the Clippers enough credit for hanging tough in this series. Without Leonard or George, they’ve lost by just five and 12.
For the Clippers to cover this line without relying on a garbage time backdoor cover, they must come out firing. They need to neutralize the Phoenix crowd and hit their shots early.
They also can’t allow any huge runs. A few 6-0,7-0 runs happen throughout the game, but they have no room to allow a 10+ point run.
-125 isn’t the greatest value for a team to cover a 13.5 point spread, but the Clippers have shown heart in this series that should keep them in this game.
Kevin Durant OVER 41.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists, -110
We went with this as one of our free picks in Game 4, and we’re going with it again.
Durant has hit the over three out of four games so far this series, with his lowest being 36.
His point, rebound, and assist averages this season totals to 40.8, so this would be a “normal” game for him.
Russell Westbrook UNDER 8.5 Assists, -105
All three best picks are “favored” picks, but they all have a great chance of happening.
Westbrook has posted under 8.5 assists in three out of four games, with the one outlier being a 12-assist game in Game 2.
He took 29 shots in Game 4, and don’t expect that volume to change.
He has been their best offensive weapon in this series, and he has to take over in the scoring column once again for LA to have a chance.
Russell Westbrook is the 2nd player in NBA Playoffs history to score 37+ PTS without a free throw attempt pic.twitter.com/wzqsCiYxUh
— LA Clippers (@LAClippers) April 25, 2023
Parlay of the Game
Kevin Durant 3+ Threes,
Chris Paul OVER 6.5 Assists
There’s a lot of moving parts to this parlay for pretty low odds, but there’s not a lot of great value in this game.
It’s hard to imagine the Suns losing this game, but the Clippers will find a way to cover.
The Durant and CP3 bets are value boosters, and both have a good chance of hitting.
Suns Win by 26+, +525
Clippers Win by 1-5, +900
Vegas thinks there’s a significantly better chance of the Suns blowing out the Clippers than LA winning a close game.
There has been exactly ONE game decided by 26+ points in the NBA Playoffs this year.
It’s not “disrespectful” to give the Clippers this little of a chance, but it is selling them short.
If Russell Westbrook had any real help in Game 4, LA would’ve had a shot at winning.
We’ll have to see how it plays out, but these odds just feel wrong.
In addition to the Best Picks and Parlay of the Game, here are a few more free picks with great value ahead of tonight’s game.
Under 223.5, -105
Russell Westbrook NO Double-Double, +100
Russell Westbrook: Top Point Scorer, +475
Clippers First Quarter ML, +240
Josh Okogie OVER 6.5 Points, +100
Tonight’s Game 5 will be at 7 PM Pacific Time (10 PM ET) on TNT.