Fantasy Baseball Rundown for Tuesday 6/6
With another full Tuesday on tap there are lots of options for your DFS lineups, however, as seems to be the case somewhat frequently lately, there aren’t a ton a matchups to love where there is extensive batter vs pitcher history. But below are 5 matchups to take a look at and a few stacks to consider.
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DFS Hitters to Target
Max Muncy – He’s got some history versus Luke Weaver (4-for-13, 1 2B, 1 HR, 4 BB), and the conditions at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati are ripe for an offensive outburst with winds blowing slightly out and temps near 80 degrees according to Ballpark Pal. Max won’t give you the average, but if it’s pop you’re looking for in a great hitter’s park then look no further than Muncy. He’s got 18 HR on the season, good for 3rd in the MLB, to go along with 42 RBI, which is 9th. He hits them in bunches too, so this could be a game where he gets you 2 of them.Â
Luis Arraez – Arraez is batting .399 on the season. Let me say that again – Arraez is batting .399 on the season! Holy smokes! He won’t contribute in the way of HR, but with that kind of batting average there’s always opportunity for RBI (he’s got 29), runs scored (he’s got 22), and extra base hits (17 of his 83 hits have gone for extra bases). He walks more than he strikes out (19 BB v 11 K), so he’s getting on base in nearly half of his plate appearances (.450 OBP). Oh, and he’s 5-for-16 off off Zack Greinke lifetime, with no strikeouts, of course.
Matt Olson – Olson is 5-for-12 (.417) off of Carlos Carrasco in his career, 2 doubles and 2 HR. He’s not the hottest of the Braves’ hitters to say the least, he barely batted above the Mendoza Line in April (.215), and just 2-for-10 to start June, but he’ll provide you with power, as he’s got 17 HR on the season, good for 4th in the MLB. Braves just had a 6-game west coast road trip, so maybe a homestand against a familiar foe is just what the doctor ordered for Olson.
Corbin Carroll – Carroll doesn’t have any history versus Jake Irwin, it’s just that Irwin is sporting a 5.67 ERA through 6 starts and this is a game with a fairly high over/under run total (9.5). Perhaps it’s the Washington offense that breaks out against Tommy Henry, but I’m leaning D-backs, and Carroll will contribute across categories. He hits the 4-seamer and sinker well also, two of the three pitches Irvin features most frequently. Lefties are batting .281 on the season against Irvin, versus .239 for righties, so another reason you can feel good about Carroll.
Randall Grichuk – Of course the game being played in Colorado features the highest over/under run total on the board (12 runs), so who’s going to take advantage? There are some decent options on both sides, like J.D. Davis, who is a surprising 12-for-33 (.364) with 3 doubles, a HR, a stolen base, and 7 walks over the last 10 days. But I’m going Grichuk, who is 10-for-29 (.345) over the last 10 days, including 4 doubles. He seems to love the home cooking better too (or the light Colorado air), because he’s got a .408 average at Coors on the year (20-for-49), versus .278 on the road (15-for-54). He’s got just 1 HR on the season, but had 19 last year – 13 of which came at Coors – and hasn’t hit one since early May, so he is long overdue.
DFS Stacks to Consider
Muncy/Freeman/Martinez – Muncy is outlined above, but Freeman has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball since early May, and has also seen Weaver 13 times, having collected 4 hits in the process. Martinez has seen his power stroke come alive in the last couple weeks, with 9 HR since May 20th. That’s 2 more than Yordan Alvarez (7) and 3 more than Aaron Judge (6) over that same period. Of course Mookie Betts just had a couple multi-homer games, so he’s on the table too, but is 2-for-14 lifetime off Weaver.
Olson/Acuna/Rosario – you’ve read the case for Olson already, but Acuna and Rosario have both had success off Carrasco a bit too. Acuna is 3-for-8 with 2 doubles and a homer off Carrasco, and as always is a threat to contribute across categories. Eddie Rosario is 13-for-38 (.342) with 3 HR and 5 walks off Carrasco. He’s also swinging a hot bat, as he’s 11-for-30 (.367) over his last 8 games, including 3 doubles, a triple, and 3 HR, including this go-ahead grand slam the other night.Â
Grichuk/McMahon/Tovar – Grichuk has already been discussed, but McMahon has been good lately too, going 17-for-40 (.425) over his last 10 games, including 5 home runs. He’s likely to get in on the party at Coors too. Tovar likewise is 12-for-32 (.375) since an 0-for-3 night on 5/26, collecting 6 doubles and 1 HR over that span. On the other side, you could look at pairing Michael Conforto and Mike Yastrzemski with J.D. Davis, as this looks like it’s shaping up to be a bullpen game for Colorado.
Start v Sit
Start 3B Rafael Devers – Devers is too good of a hitter to see his average stay around .250 for too much longer. He was 2-for-4 last night, and he’s got 2 career homers off Shane Bieber (albeit a 3-for-13 statline). If you’re not starting Max Muncy for reasons stated above, then try Devers.
Sit 3B Jose Ramirez – Ramirez is just 2-for-14 (.143) off of James Paxton in his career, and hasn’t been hitting well from the right side of the plate, going 11-for-67 (.164) on the season, and just 1-for-16 so far in June regardless of handedness.
Betting Angle
PIT/LAD F5 ML parlay(+119): Keller on the mound for PIT and OAK is worst offense in baseball; LAD in hitters park going against Weaver with 5.00+ ERA, Gonsolin going for LA who has been good.
Arraez 2 Total Bases (+100) – just needs 2 singles or 1 double to get this, batting near .400 off a pitcher he’s had success against, and a bullpen that has given up third-most hits in all of baseball.
Semien/Arraez/Carroll to get a hit parlay (+143 at FanDuel): Arraez and Carroll discussed above, and Semien is on a 24-game hit streak. Take out one of these guys to play it safer, but only get around -120 odds.
Mitch Keller (alt) 6 K + Jesus Luzardo (alt) 7 K parlay (-109 at FanDuel): both pitchers have been pretty good, and both pitchers are better at home, while both pitchers are also facing teams that strikeout more than two-thirds of the other teams in baseball.
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