In Saturday’s Phillies Betting Preview, I wagered two units a piece on each of the starting pitchers’ strikeout prop bet, calling for both of them to go over. Bobby Miller proved he was the real deal by striking out 7 Phillies in 6 1/3 shutout innings, and Nola did his part by striking out 7 Dodgers when he wasn’t getting shelled.
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Phillies (-110) vs Diamondbacks (-110) O/U 10
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The Phillies (32-33) embark on a 7-game road trip, opening a 4-game set at Arizona (40-25). It will be a battle of the lefties, as the Phillies LHP Matt Strahm is set to do battle against the D-Backs LHP Tommy Henry. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:40.
Taking the mound first for the Phillies is Matt Strahm, as they opt for a bullpen game. Strahm has been a reliable presence this season, boasting a 4-3 record and a 3.61 ERA. Across his 42.1 innings pitched, he has demonstrated a commendable WHIP of 1.039, allowing only 32 hits while issuing 12 walks and striking out 55 batters. Although his recent five outings, including one start, have been less impressive with a 6.14 ERA over seven and third innings, Strahm has shown his prowess against the Diamondbacks throughout his career. In 37.2 innings pitched against them, he has maintained a 4.36 ERA, a WHIP of 1.37, recording eight walks and 27 strikeouts.
Tommy Henry is set to make his tenth appearance and ninth start of the season for the Diamondbacks. With a solid record of 3-1, he has posted a 4.37 ERA, a 1.301 WHIP, 19 walks, and 27 strikeouts over 45.1 innings pitched this year. Henry recorded a no-decision in his recent outing against the Nationals. He threw for 4.1 innings, allowing five runs on five hits, accompanied by three walks and two strikeouts. Despite this, the Diamondbacks secured a victory with a final score of 10-5. Looking back at his last three starts, Henry holds a 1-0 record with a 3.55 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, five walks, and nine strikeouts over 12.2 innings of work. Noteworthy is that this contest against the Phillies marks his third career start against them. In his previous encounters, Henry has recorded a 1-1 record with an 8.38 ERA, a 1.862 WHIP, six walks, and nine strikeouts over 9.2 innings pitched.
As the Phillies prepare for a bullpen game, it’s worth taking a closer look at their bullpen performance throughout the season. They have shown steady improvement and currently maintain a respectable ERA of 4.09, placing them in the middle of the pack among all teams in the majors. One interesting aspect is their ability to handle challenging situations, as they find themselves in a group of teams with seven blown save opportunities. While this showcases their resilience and competitiveness, it’s important to note that they remain focused on minimizing such occurrences. Moreover, their inherited runners scoring percentage of 40% puts them in the middle of the pack, indicating an area where they aim to make further progress. The Phillies’ bullpen continues to work diligently to refine their performance and provide solid support for the team.
Get ready for a fireworks display, as this game is expected to ignite an explosion of runs. Tommy Henry’s last outing against the hapless Nationals, where he surrendered five runs, raises concerns about his ability to contain the potent offense of the Phillies. Furthermore, the confident approach of the Phillies and the consistent offensive prowess of the Diamondbacks set the stage for an exciting matchup with abundant scoring opportunities. With the anticipation of a high-scoring affair, it’s highly likely that the total will surpass the total of 10, making the over an enticing wager.
Bets and Season Record
Pick: OVER 10 runs 4 UNITS
Up 7 units (+$700)