Week 1 of the NFL season is here and player props are officially available. Player props constantly change so these numbers are subject to change based on when you view this article. The earlier you get it the better the number.
Odds courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook
NFL Week 1 Player Props
Najee Harris Over/Under Rushing Yards 50.5
Najee Harris has been very inefficient since entering the NFL in 2021. The total for this game is low at 50.5 so Harris should have plenty of opportunities to get carries. But the 49ers have been a great run defense for a long time now. In 2022 the 49ers only allowed 51 rushing yards to five running backs. Harris also has to deal with Jaylen Warren stealing snaps from him. 50.5 is a low number but it is still too high for Harris in this brutal matchup.
Best Bet: Najee Harris UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards -114
Lamar Jackson Over/Under Rushing Yards 50.5
Lamar Jackson will start his first NFL game without Greg Roman as his offensive coordinator. The Ravens hired Todd Monken as their new offensive coordinator to run a new-look Ravens offense. Monken is expected to call less-designed running plays for Jackson. The Ravens are double-digit favorites in this contest so Jackson shouldn’t need to run that often in this one. Lamar Jackson’s rushing unders are a scary proposition given the fact that he can reach this number on one carry.
Best Bet: Lamar Jackson UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards -114
Nick Chubb Over/Under Rushing Yards 80.5
Nick Chubb is one of those guys that you just take the over on, no matter the matchup just take his overs. One of the best running backs in the league running behind a good offensive line. Kareem Hunt left in free agency so it is just Chubb in the Browns backfield. Take his over confidently.
Best Bet: Nick Chubb OVER 80.5 Rushing Yards
Brian Robinson Anytime Touchdown
Anytime Touchdown bets are always tricky because touchdowns are so unpredictable. But this one is a good situation for Robinson. The Commanders are 7 point home favorites against a team that is basically tanking. The Cardinals signed Josh Dobbs less than a month ago and he will start for the Cardinals in week 1. The Commanders should see plenty of possessions and with Robinson being the short yardage back he should see a few redzone carries in week 1.
Best Bet: Brian Robinson Anytime Touchdown +130
Michael Thomas Over/Under Receiving Yards 40.5 & Chris Olave Over/Under 4.5 Receptions
We like both of these props in the Tennessee Titans vs. New Orleans Saints game this weekend. Mainly because these numbers are just too low, Michael Thomas was averaging 57 yards per game in 2022 before his ankle injury. Chris Olave is the number one target for the Saints, this number should be closer to 6.5 than 4.5. Also, the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara against a Titans team that is fantastic at stopping the run. The Saints receivers should see plenty of targets in week 1.
Best Bet: Michael Thomas OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards -114, Chris Olave OVER 4.5 Receptions -138
Embed from Getty Images
Jalen Hurts Over/Under Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Jalen Hurts went over this number in 8 of 15 regular season games in 2022. This projects as a low-scoring game but with a player as talented as Hurts this number and positive odds are just too good to pass up.
Best Bet: Jalen Hurts OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +112
Brandin Cooks Over/Under 44.5 Receiving Yards
Brandin Cooks will make his Cowboys debut this Sunday against the New York Giants. The Giants will be starting two rookie cornerbacks and Cooks will mostly line up against one of them. Cooks is projected to be second on the Cowboys in targets. He was acquired for his speed, the Cowboys should look to showcase that in this primetime matchup.
Best Bet: Brandin Cooks OVER 44.5 Receiving Yards