Week 2 of the NFL season is here, the lines for week 2 have been posted on most sportsbooks. Going from week 1 to week 2 there are a lot of overreactions that take place so some of these lines are off. We see plenty of value this week given those overreactions to certain games that took place in week 1. We went 4-3 in our against the spread picks for week 1 so we will look to capitalize on that in week 2.
Odds provided by Fanduel Sportsbook.
NFL Week 2 Best Bets Against the Spread
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons
Best Bet: OVER 40.5 (-110)
Both of these two teams won in week 1, the Green Bay Packers scoring 38 points against the Chicago Bears while the Atlanta Falcons scored 24 points in a win against the Carolina Panthers. Both teams want to run the ball but have explosive pass catchers. The Falcons scored 24 points with Desmond Ridder only having 18 pass attempts. The Packers scored 38 points without their best wide receiver. This projects as a 23-20 type of game, take the over.
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions
Best Bets: Seattle Seahawks +5.5 (-105), OVER 47 (-115)
In the intro we talked about week 1 overreactions, this line is a perfect example of that. Before week 1 this line was the Seattle Seahawks +2.5, it went up three points after week 1. That’s too much, Seattle should bounce back and keep this one close. The over should also hit in this one, The Seahawks offense will be looking to bounce back and Jared Goff at home is a good spot to play the over. These two teams played last season in Detroit; the total was 93, with the Seahawks topping 48 by themselves.
New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys
Best Bet: UNDER 39.5 (-110)
The Aaron Rodgers injury that was sustained in week 1 completely changes this line. The line opened up at Cowboys -3 and has jumped up to Cowboys -9.5. We liked it as -7 but now at almost double digits, we won’t be touching it. So the total is the better play, two dominant defenses. The Cowboy’s offense is still adapting to a new system while the Jets are playing Zach Wilson. The only thing that could lose this bet is defensive touchdowns which is entirely possible.
New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
Best Bet: New Orleans Saints -3 (-120), UNDER 40.5 (-110)
In week 1 neither of these teams hit this total in their respective week 1 games. The Saints have a really good defense and are playing a rookie quarterback. The Saints have a solid offense but most likely they won’t have to score much to cover this number. Bryce Young struggled in his NFL debut and the same should happen this week. None of the rookie quarterbacks won or covered their spread in week 1, Let’s keep the trend going until it changes.
Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 (-110)
The Cleveland Browns dominated the Cincinnati Bengals in week 1 while the Pittsburgh Steelers were dominated by the San Francisco 49ers. This line opened with the Steelers as home favorites; now they are home underdogs. Another overreaction, the Browns dominating the Bengals is specific to their matchup. The Browns own the Joe Burrow Bengals, 5-1 against the Bengals since Burrow entered the league. The same cannot be said for their history against the Steelers, Take the Steelers to keep this one close and we’ll hope it turns out better than last week.
2023 Season Record:
Against the Spread: 4-3 (57%)
Teasers: 1-4 (25%)
Parlays: 1-3 (33%)
Primetime Parlays: 0-1 (0%)
Player Props: 6-2 (75%)
