The NFL released their full slate of games for the upcoming 2023 season, and with that we now know the path the New York Giants will have to take on their quest for their fifth Lombardi Trophy. What the schedule release also means is that we finally have our first glimpse of New York Giants betting: game lines, point totals, and season props. With the season still four months away, now is the time to get the best odds out there. All odds are brought to you by BETMGM.
NY Giants Team Betting Preview
The Giants came into the 2022 season with very little expectations. Their 2021 season was mired with embarrassment led by former GM Dave Gettleman and Head Coach Joe Judge, and can best summed up by a QB sneak on a 3rd and 9. However, things turned around, and turned around quick under a couple of Buffalo Bill proteges in GM Joe Schoen and Head Coach Brian Daboll. Together, they guided a team with a 7.5 win total to a 9-7-1 record, which included not just a postseason birth, but a win on the road against NFC North winners the Minnesota Vikings.
Despite a successful 2022 season the Giants roster was still in need of a facelift. On the player retention side, QB Daniel Jones signed a 4 year, $160 million contract, breakout DT Dexter Lawrence signed a 4 year, $90 million contract, and superstar RB Saquon Barkley was brought back on the Franchise Tag.
That was just the beginning of Schoen’s work. He made a big splash trading for former Las Vegas Raiders Pro Bowl TE Darren Waller. That was followed up by signing former Indianapolis Colts LB Bobby Okereke to a 4 year, $40 million contract, to fill a massive void on the defense. And later added a couple of savvy, low-risk signings such as WR Paris Campbell, DT A’Shawn Robinson, and S Bobby McCain. In addition, the Giants added some high end talent in major positions of need during the NFL Draft by bringing in Maryland CB Deonte Banks, Minnesota C John Michael Schmitz, and Tennessee WR Jalin Hyatt. Even Eric Gray is listed as +10000 on FanDuel as Barkley’s backup has some promise in the longrun.
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It was an offseason of value meeting need for the Giants, and they set themselves up nicely to have a solid second season under Brian Daboll. Though it’s early, there is definitely some value to be had with this Giants team that snuck up on people last year. The question is, will they have the capability to do it again?
New York Giants Schedule Overview
Coming into the 2022 season the Giants had the fourth easiest strength of schedule. This year they do a complete 180, and now have the fourth toughest strength of schedule. The Giants schedule this year can be summed up by two categories; away games and primetime. Six of the first ten games played will be on the road and they will play five primetime games. The Giants have three sets of back-to-back away games as well as trio of games on the road in November against Raiders, Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders.
What also stands out on the schedule is that four out of six games to begin the season will be on primetime. Last season the Giants only had one primetime game to begin the year; Week three against the Cowboys, but did end up having their Week 15 game against the Commanders flexed to Sunday Night Football. This season they’ll have Sunday night games against the Cowboys and Bills, Monday night games against the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers, and a lone Thursday night game against San Fransisco 49ers.
With all that being said, this was a Giants team that surprised many by beating the Packers, Baltimore Ravens, and Tennessee Titans early in the season. Should they survive the early onslaught of games, there are some wins to be had against poor Commanders, New England Patriots, and Los Angeles Rams teams.
Win Total: Over 8.5 (+120) Under 8.5 (-145)
Best Bet: Over 8.5
Why?
Many are picking regression for this Giants team. However, I look at it from the point-of-view that they’ll go better than 1-4-1 in the division, and will steal a game or two like they did last season. It’s a bet I like, but don’t love.
Week 1 Giants vs Cowboys Betting Odds
Spread: Giants +3 (-110) Cowboys -3 (-110)
Moneyline: Giants (+130) Cowboys (-155)
Total: Over 46.5 (-110) Under 46.5 (-110)
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This is a matchup many Giants fans will be familiar with; opening the season against the Cowboys. However, this is the first Week one matchup between the two sides since 2019 and the first one the Giants have hosted since 2012. This matchup has not been kind to New York as they lost both games against Dallas last season and have a 1-9 record over the last 10 meetings. The Giants also haven’t beaten the Cowboys in primetime since 2016. As nice as it’d be to start the season with a divisional win, history has proven not too kind for New York.
To the Giants credit they did keep both games close last year; losing both games by one score. The totals for both games last season were 39 points and 48 points, making that 46.5 unpredictable.
Best Bets: Cowboys ML and Giants +3
Why?
Dallas simply seems to never lose this game. My heart tells me New York due, but my brain tells me Dallas will continue to own the Giants until proven otherwise. I do think Dallas is as weak as they’ve been in the Dak Prescott era, and the Giants are improved. A little sprinkling on that +3 might not be a terrible idea as the gap has certainly closed between the two teams.
The Futures
Throwing a couple of futures in the betslip is never a bad thing, and can make a rollercoaster of an NFL season fun. For the Giants, I have two:
Future One: Giants to win NFC East (+550)
Why?
There hasn’t been a repeat NFC East champion in 17 years! That is an almost impressive lack of accomplishment for the teams in this division. The Eagles are the bell-of-the-ball and rightfully so. But so was Dallas coming into last year. Not to mention the Eagles go from easiest strength of schedule to the most difficult. Add that too some loss of defensive talent and regression from Jalen Hurts as an MVP candidate to only just an elite, and I think they may drop a few more games than expected. Dallas doesn’t convince me with Mike McCarthy calling plays, and nobody is sure who will be under center for the Commanders this season, let alone own them. That leaves Danny “Dimes” Jones to upset the pack and snatch the division for the first time since 2011.
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Future Two: Brian Daboll to win Coach of the Year (+2500)
Why?
See future one as to why. Daboll did a terrific job with this under-talented roster in 2022 and if he can guide them to an NFC East title it would be tough to see too many other coaches around the league who would have done a more impressive job. There hasn’t been a repeat Coach of the Year winner since Joe Gibbs in 1982-83, but if you want to buy into the Giants this year, at +2500 those are great odds.
