Phillies Betting Recap
In our last Phillies Betting Preview on Wednesday, we had the under 8.5 runs and the Phillies on the money line. Kevin Gausman and Zack Wheeler both pitched gems, surrendering zero and one run respectively. The Phillies tied it up in the 9th and scored the winning run on a Bo Bichette throwing error in the 10th inning. I had keyed in on the heart of the Phillies lineup and they came through in fine fashion, going 6-17 (.353) and scoring one of the two runs Philadelphia recorded.
These two latest wins run my season total to 8-2 and up 13 units. The only thing hotter right now is the action at BetMGM.
Phillies (-105) at Giants (-115) O/U 8.5
The Philadelphia Phillies continue on their West Coast road trip, visiting the lovely confines of Oracle Park against the San Francisco Giants. The first pitch is set for 9:45 p.m.
The road has not been kind to the Fightin Phils, as they are four games under .500 at 9-13, although they are 2-1 so far on this West Coast swing. Both teams lost on Sunday, the Phillies 4-0 in Colorado and the Giants 2-1 in Arizona.
LHP Bailey Falter (0-6 5.75) takes the mound for Philadelphia. He has gotten rocked in his last two outings, the most recent one on May 6th against the Red Sox, going only 3 2/3 innings while giving up five runs on six hits and a walk. Falter had surrendered homeruns in three games straight until that Red Sox start.
LHP Alex Wood (0.0 2.45) is making his first start after a stint on the DL because of a left hamstring issue. In his only appearance since his return, he pitched one inning, allowing three hits and one run, while both striking out a batter and walking one as well.
Interestingly enough, both teams average 4.33 runs per contest. But I have a strong suspicion that we’ll see a fair amount more in this game.
First, the Phillies’ offense is still hitting the ball remarkably well, .263 which is good enough for 7th place in the majors this season. A few of their key hitters have experienced success against Wood in the past.
Trea Turner: 6-17 (.353) 1 double, 2 homeruns, 5 RBI, 1 K
Bryce Harper: 9-24 (.375) 4 doubles, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 6 Ks
Josh Harrison: 8-24 (.333) 2 doubles, 1 homerun, 3 RBI, 3 Ks
On top of that, Nick Castellanos is 2-for-2 with a homer in his couple of at-bats.
I don’t expect Wood to last very long, but their bullpen is not much help, with the league’s third-worst ERA at 5.95.
San Francisco’s offense has been reliant on the long ball, swatting 62 homeruns this season, good enough for fourth place in the MLB. This doesn’t bode well for Falter, who has given up 6 round-trip tickets in his 36 innings of work. The Giants’ team batting average of .240 is slightly below the average of .247.
Things don’t get much better for the Phillies when going to the bullpen, either. Their 4.50 team ERA is the sixth-worst mark in the league.
If you put all of this information together, it seems that the over is the play of the day.
Bets and Season Record
Pick: Over 8.5 runs 4 UNITS
Run Line: 2-0 (+8 units)
O/U: 3-2 (0 units)
Money Line: 3-0 (+5 units)
Up 13 units (+$1,300)